I’ve found a few good tracking websites (with the help of Leighton, my political advisor). These two graphs track a bunch of polls and average out the results to see what it all means. The first is from pollster.com:
This one is from an impressive website called fivethirtyeight.com:
So looks like Obama has it in the bag. In fact, 538.com give him a 98.1% chance of winning. That are some good odds!
270 electoral votes are needed to win the presidency. Here’s a map that shows the predicted result. My political advisor identified many possible scenarios, including McCain picking up extra votes, and it just doesn’t look like it’s going to happen for him. This scenario has 305 EV for Obama, 233 for McCain.
But check out this analysis of scenarios from 538.com, indicating that Obama is likely to win a lot more electoral votes:
What makes elections really interesting over here is the 2 h time difference between East and West, and the first states to finish are some battleground states, which if Obama picks up early in the night, it should indicate all she wrote. If they end up being close or if McCain gets them, the night may get somewhat longer.
After going trick-or treating with his two girls in Indiana last week, Obama is in his home town of Chicago. He voted this morning, and will be hosting a huge party in Grant Park, downtown Chicago (where we saw Radiohead at Lollapalooza). He’ll give his acceptance speech to 70,000 people inside the park, and the city is expecting around 1 million people to be surrounding the park.
Think we should go downtown and join in the party?
It’s all over red rover! Palin 2012! ahahahah bwahahah…
I just ‘hope’ he is the instigator of change he’s said he would be… he’ll need to crack some skulls and throw billions at building a new tech energy sector if the US wants to get out of the quagmire they’re in.